Tag Archives: Giuliani

Ron Paul, Second in Nevada

Ron Paul came in a strong second in Nevada and beat Giuliani in South Carolina… though Paul beating Giuliani is nothing new, the only time he hasn’t was in New Hampshire. Nevada and South Carolina proves a certain point about the Ron Paul base. Despite the fact he gets lower scores in polls, his real world results are much better then the polls predict. For example, in South Carolina, Ron Paul was polling at 1%, well behind Giuliani’s 4% and even Keyes’ 2%. The polls are flawed not only as a result of what they ask, but perhaps more importantly whom they ask.
Thompson is expected to drop out, and likely will endorse McCain, which if that results in a McCain win in Florida (who already leads), will be an effective end to Giuliani’s run, especially if Giuliani falls past second there after all the time and money he has spent on Florida.
On the Democrat side, Clinton won Nevada (their South Carolina primary isn’t until later), but Obama gets more delegates from there, making his delegate lead stronger.

My Election Preditions For Now

It is still early in the primary season, but I’ll lay out my official election predictions, as they stand right now.
On the Democrat side, which is an easier one to predict, I’ll lay best odds on an Obama/Edwards ticket with an eventual win as the Republican’s will not put up somebody who can beat any Democrat, even Hillary would beat anybody the Republican’s are likely to put up (read as Ron Paul is the only Republican who stands a chance to beat the Democrats). Obama/Edwards will be seen as the “change” ticket, even though they are evil CFR members, the public at large doesn’t care and America will go to Hell as a result. America will no longer be the best place to live, just on the top tier with several others that are just as bad, or close enough that it doesn’t matter. I’ll give a small outside chance to it being either Clinton/Edwards or Edwards/Clinton. Clinton is leading in Michigan, but that is because Obama and Edwards are not on the ticket due to Michigan violating rules by moving its primary ahead of Super Tuesday (Feb 5th). This may lead to party backlash against Clinton. Unfortunately, the only decent non-evil Democrat, Kucinich, won’t get much, but may be given a spot to speak at the Convention.
The Republican side becomes far more difficult to predict. It depends on how things play out in the big states like Florida, California and New York which is where Giuliani is putting most of his efforts at works out. See the Republican’s have a winner take all in lots of states for the primary, so it works out like a direct popular vote, the winner only needs to take those three to win the whole thing (this is the advantage of the electoral college, it makes states like Ohio matter, under a direct popular vote, even Cleveland is too small to care about… but that is another post that I have gone over before and will likely cover again as the real election draws near). If Giuliani can’t win enough votes in the big states, it will probably be McCain, who for some ungodly reason is having a come back… of course I rather have McCain, as horrifyingly evil as he is than Giuliani, who is a billion times worse. The vice-president candidate I’ll give odds to Huckabee, who despite his many evils, is seen as the choice of Evangelicals. I’ve already talked about how Evangelicals are trying to continue to fuck over the country with choosing Huckabee, but as he is seen as the Evangelical choice, I am laying odds on him being given the second spot on the ticket with the second choice being Romney who has a chance of appealing to Evangelicals but not to the same degree, but still far more then either Giuliani or McCain. Huckabee is also the third most anti-war candidate after Ron Paul and Kucinich, which would make the ticket more appealing to some of the anti-war people, especially on the Republican side, and there is a big gap until you hit the next Democrat candidate on the anti-war stance and a huge gap from them to the rest of the Republicans on the war issue.
Ron Paul… Well I expect him to drop out after Super Tuesday unless things go drastically well. This makes me sad as he is the only non-evil Republican. I hope he’ll take the Libertarian parties invitation and seek their nomination (they can’t just toss him in as their candidate, he has to ask for it, then he has to be chosen at the convention). If he doesn’t look to their nomination, I don’t expect him to be invited to the Convention, despite his huge popularity, due to his stance on several key issues. If he does go for and wins the Libertarian nomination, they will get enough votes to be put on the debates next election cycle and be on the ballot all over without all the problems they now face trying to get ballot access, this alone is reason enough for him to go for it, to give a third party an actual voice next election cycle.
Anyhow, in the end the country gets fucked. We get no change, just more taxes and bigger government and a faster slide to the North American Union. Unless of course we put Ron Paul or Kucinich in office… of course with Kucinich we still get more taxes and bigger government, but at least he would stall the move to the North American Union.

Giuliani is a Big Fu**ing Idiot

Giuliani claims that America’s Foreign Policy had nothing to do with 9/11. Contradicting what the terrorists themselves said. He says the reason they attacked us is because of the freedoms we have. Hey Mr Giuliani, if they hate us for our freedoms, then why the hell did we get rid of a lot of our freedoms with the Patriot Act and other post 9/11 stuff? What an idiot…