As should be obvious from my recent trend in politics, I am not supporting Ron Paul for 2012…
Contrary to what you may have heard reported by the mass media, Ron Paul has not officially dropped out of the race. Rather he is moving onto the next phase, which is rather vague. I for one sincerely hope he is going to make a go for it as a Libertarian candidate again, the Republican base is long since moved on and didn’t pay attention.
Ron Paul did respectably well Tuesday, however, due to the asinine way the Republican’s assign the winner take all delegates, his delegate count didn’t go up. I really don’t understand why anyone votes for McCain. Even Republican’s hate Bush, and McCain is basically another Bush, perhaps even worse. My shit could win the general election against McCain. I could see the election now, “I have the choice between a piece of shit and McCain. Easy! The piece of shit.” The news reports would be all about how a piece of shit beat McCain by a landslide… Lucky for us there is a chance it won’t be a piece of shit running against McCain (though that depends on who the Democrats pick of the two).
Meanwhile, voters in Wisconsin and Hawaii were smart enough to vote for Obama over Clinton. Obama is also doing better in Texas with him ahead even on some polls I have seen, but most report a statistical dead heat. For some god forsaken reason, Clinton still has a fairly strong lead in Ohio, but there is nearly two weeks until the primaries, so hopefully things will change and the gap narrows. They are still predicting it will come to the superdelegates, all in a party who for the general election believes that the popular vote is all that should matter, but for the primaries they think is worthless.
I think it is telling when the “better educated” people, as the media polls call them, favor Obama and the “less educated” people prefer Clinton. That should speak volumes as to whom the Democrats should elect. Obviously the “educated” people know who is the better choice.
If we get Obama vs McCain, I will vote for Obama, if it is McCain vs Clinton I think about moving out of the country but in the meantime vote 3rd party. If it is Obama vs Huckabee… well, that is likely not to happen, I’ll decide in the booth between 3rd party and Obama, unless of course that 3rd party choice is Ron Paul where Ron Paul is the clear choice…
Here is my current run down:
Anybody but Clinton or McCain
The Libertarian choice if it isn’t Ron Paul…
I think that keeps care of everyone. 🙂
As far as moving out of the country, it would likely be Vancouver, though I would really prefer New Zealand, and of course I already covered the city choices there in other posts.
Meanwhile, what the flip is up with Washington state stopping their counts and declaring McCain the winner before they were done counting? The vote count was close enough, with enough votes left uncounted that the whole thing stinks. If I were a Washington voter, I would be highly pissed. Did the vote counters look at the uncounted ballots and see that Huckabee or Paul were going to win and decided to leave them uncounted? It is one thing for a network to declare a winner before the counts are done and the polls are closed (unlike 2000 where they declared a winner long before even the East coast polls were closed), but is another thing for the officials to declare a winner before they are done counting and then stop counting.
Anyhow, I officially support Obama, after Ron Paul.
Ron Paul came in a strong second in Nevada and beat Giuliani in South Carolina… though Paul beating Giuliani is nothing new, the only time he hasn’t was in New Hampshire. Nevada and South Carolina proves a certain point about the Ron Paul base. Despite the fact he gets lower scores in polls, his real world results are much better then the polls predict. For example, in South Carolina, Ron Paul was polling at 1%, well behind Giuliani’s 4% and even Keyes’ 2%. The polls are flawed not only as a result of what they ask, but perhaps more importantly whom they ask.
Thompson is expected to drop out, and likely will endorse McCain, which if that results in a McCain win in Florida (who already leads), will be an effective end to Giuliani’s run, especially if Giuliani falls past second there after all the time and money he has spent on Florida.
On the Democrat side, Clinton won Nevada (their South Carolina primary isn’t until later), but Obama gets more delegates from there, making his delegate lead stronger.
Ron Paul placed fourth in Michigan far beating out Giuliani and Thompson, of course Giuliani continues to focus on Florida. Romney’s win doesn’t count for too much since the Republican’s cut Michigan’s delegates in half for moving the primary too early.
Meanwhile on the Democrat side, Clinton won, though she and Kucinich were about the only ones on the ballot as Obama and Edwards dropped their name from the ballot. Her win means nothing however since Michigan gets no Delegates in the national convention because their primary was held too early.
Up next: Nevada and South Carolina this Saturday. It seems the Republican’s are focusing in on South Carolina while the Democrats are concerned about Nevada and it’s labor unions… Actually, South Carolina isn’t on that date for the Dems anyhow… For the Dems South Carloina and Nevada come without penalty. Nevada is a Caucus state, so it is non-binding for the Republicans, so it goes without penalty, South Carolina is also cut in half of it’s normal. Then Florida on the 29th, which both parties cut it’s delegate’s in half. Feb 1st gives us Main’s caucus on the Republican side. Then Super Tuesday, the 5th at which point most campaigns may end their runs if they don’t do well. A few others come up, then the last one that probably matters is March 4th when Texas and Ohio have their primaries, after that it is a bunch of small states again.
Since the Republican’s are idiots, it is a winner take all situation in most states so the winner of the state overall gets all the delegates, regardless of how each district voted. The Democrat’s who run it closer to a general election in that the winner of each district gets the delegates of that district. Ideally this is how primaries and general elections should be done. The winner of each congressional district gets the delegate/electoral college vote for that district, with the two additional delegates/electoral college votes being for the winner of the state overall. In the case of primaries, when penalizing a state it looses two additional, and then each of the other delegate’s votes count for only 1/2 a vote. The big problem with primaries is how to separate them well enough to get a good representation and not cost too much at the same time. Ideally it should be Idaho, then New Hampshire then perhaps a two or three other states, one of them being Florida, California, New York in rotation, then Super Tuesday, which needs cut down from being as big as it is this year, but would cover the other two super big states, and in general should represent a very good cross section of the United States. Then on with other primaries.
Ron Paul so far in the New Hampshire primaries is second. Two hamlets voted last night, McCain received 10 votes, Mike Huckabee 5, Ron Paul 4, Romney 3 and Rudy Giuliani 1. Of course the big news is that Obama crushed everyone on the Dem side with 16 votes, Clinton 3, John Edwards 3 and Bill Richardson 1. Still, the main stream media seems to focus on McCain, Hucakbee, Romney and of course Giuliani, the last two of which Ron Paul beat. They even talk about Thompson, who didn’t get any votes. I think they still don’t take Ron Paul seriously. I personally expect a 3rd place finish in the state overall, taking most of the independent voters who go Republican.
Meanwhile, Ron Paul got a positive mention on the Howard Stern show. Not an endorsement, but a positive mention. If he suggested to his viewers that they should vote for him in the primaries, I may forgive him for past wrongs. Still not the kind of thing I would listen to, but it would reverse my anger at him. 😉
There is a great article by Chuck Baldwin, founding pastor of Crossroad Baptist Church in Pensacola, Florida, titled: We Desperately Need The “Confessing Church” where he makes a very good comparison between the Christian Churches in Nazi Germany that supported Hitler, and the Christian Church today that supports Bush and the Neo-Cons (read all the Republican candidates except Ron Paul). This is a must read. The book he talks about is: Hitler’s Cross.
Another pastor, Gregory Boyd takes on The Myth of a Christian Nation: How the Quest for Political Power Is Destroying the Church in the videos below the break.
Continue reading More Ron Paul Stuff and The Myth of a Christian Nation
This would be great to see on TV, perhaps Super Bowl Sunday… of course 3 minutes on Super Sunday would be really expensive…
Not only does CNN’s Jeffrey Toobin lie about the existince of the North American Union, the Council on Foreign Relations, the Trilateral Commission and the NAFTA Super Highway, none of the other 5 people on the screen with him correct him, though some of them clearly know better.
Here is a great video about the move to the North American Union, the CFR and a number of other great evils. Using the words of the very organizations and our own governments about their plans to make the North American Union, to make the NAFTA Super Highway and all that stuff…
Need more? Here are some links directly to some documents about it all, and all from our own government, not some outside group like the CFR which is even more obvious about the plans to dissolve America and form a North American Union (and all the candidates outside of Ron Paul and Kucinich are CFR members and/or major supporters) :
Department of Transportation
Continue reading CNN’s Jeffrey Toobin Lies About the NAU, CFR, & Trilateral Commission
The CNN YouTube Republican Debates are tonight.
Some great stuff I saw over at the Daily Paul.
CNN talking about Ron Paul’s amazing amount of money earned, and they talk about how Paul got 4695 mentions on TV News outlets compared to McCains’ 95,005 from August 2006 to August 2007.
Ron Paul on MSNBCs Tucker Carlson show talking about the money bomb as well (Tucker is big Ron Paul supporter, supported him the last time he ran):
There is a bit on Ron Paul and why he seems to do so poorly on the polls. Basically the problem is whom the pollsters consider likely Republican voters, those who were crazy enough to vote for Bush last election, no Libertarians, independents or 3rd party supporters which makes up a huge chunk of his base, not to mention lots of his supporters may not have land line phones to be reached.
The first New York Straw Poll was held, and Ron Paul won against Giuliani. Giuliani’s own city, and Ron Paul bests him.
Ron Paul – 26 votes
Rudy Giuliani – 21 votes
Mitt Romney – 6 votes
John McCain – 4 botes
Mike Huckabee – 2 votes
Duncan Hunter – 1 vote
Tom Tancredo – 0 votes
Of course the question becomes why so few people in New York bothered with this Straw Poll when small state and city polls do so much better. Regardless, Ron Paul won out, in New York City of all places. Also, this seems to have been the Young Republicans, which would be more Ron Paul’s audience. However, straw polls probably are a better indicator of actual voting than the phone polls that the media quotes all the time since you actually have to go to them and take action, sometimes pay… Okay, somebody may try to point out the Ron Paul lost in Texas, but Texas did everything they could to stop Ron Paul supporters from being able to vote, directly baring some of them at the door, and he still placed third, had they Texas GOP not taken those actions Ron Paul would have won overwhelmingly.
Fox News and the others who keep accusing Ron Paul supporters of being just a small group of spammers is going to have a hard time explaining how he does so well in the primaries.
Remember remember the 5th of November indeed!
Ron Paul, whom if we are to believe the press and the “official” polls, despite finishing in the top 3 of nearly every straw poll, having more donations from active military personal then any other candidate, and a huge Internet presence, being fourth in donations for the GOP last quarter, doesn’t register on the main stream media focus. They can’t ignore him today though. Ron Paul has made more in one day today (the 5th of November) then any other Primary candidate has ever earned in American history, and it looks like he may get close to Kerry’s record of $5.6 million one day record which came during the general election campaign. This is actual money in the coffers, not just pledged (unlike Romney’s claim a while ago which was mostly pledges). At the start he was about $2.8 million, as of 11:57 pm Eastern it is near $7.1, so about a million off Kerry’s general election record. Wow! There were over 35,000 or so individual donations, which I think is another record. I think people will have to start taking the campaign seriously now.
Update: It may be the record for Republicans. There are claims that Hillary did more back in June. However, the individual donations record looks like it will stand.
Thanks to Ron Paul introducing the American Freedom Agenda Act (PDF file), even people who admit they are far on the left are rethinking Ron Paul. He’s probably not going to enforce Ron Paul, but it’s a start.
Everyone needs to make sure they get their Representative and Senators on board with this bill now. It restores Habeas Corpus and repeals the Military Commissions Act of 2006 among a few other things.
A great Ron Paul video:
Manystorm over at Daily Paul has put up an Open Letter to Allen Wastler, Managing Editor, CNBC.com, which responds to Wastler’s An Open Letter to the Ron Paul Faithful telling why he took the poll down that had Ron Paul winning the post debate poll. Manystorm says everything much better then I could have. Wastler talks about how Paul pulls low numbers in the “legit” polls (his quote marks), Manystorm points out, properly, that Paul is often not even a choice. I was reading something from Kucinich a supporter how they said Kucinich after the poller gave them the top few choices, when he said Kucinich they said that wasn’t an option and he had to pick one of the top choices, we can be sure the same is happening in the case of Dr. Paul. Manystorm points out Lew Rockwell’s article Ron Paul and Opinion Polling, which goes over many good points about polls. I would also point to Penn & Teller’s excellent Bullshit episode on Numbers from their 4th season. Polls are not about accuracy, they are about reflecting a narrow set of choices, to manipulate those who don’t understand how polls work. Of course somebody like Wastler undoubtedly knows that the “legit” polls are lies already, and his open letter to the Paul faithful is probably to further confuse those who don’t know how the “legit” polls work, and not actually to the Paul faithful.
I wonder what the mainstream media will do when Ron Paul gets far better then 3% at the primaries. How are they going to explain it to the brainwashed hordes?
There was another GOP debate on Fox last night. Initial reports are that the moderators were attempting to skew the questions and format against Ron Paul. However, Ron Paul rose to the occasion, and won the text messaging poll afterwards. Fox tried to downplay the results saying that they were messed with, despite the fact it was impossible to vote twice, meaning every vote that Ron Paul got came from different phones. It also appearers that a great many of the advertisers were banks, who would naturally oppose Ron Paul. No doubt it was rude of Guiliani to laugh on mic every time Ron Paul spoke, and feed the lie about Iran to hold up the upcoming war with Iran. If the vast majority of American’s knew the truth of the war, the pending war with Iran, and all that jazz… then again, I think that most people prefer to be ignorant of the truth… they want to believe the lie, they want to believe what the mass media and the government tells them, owning up to the truth would mean taking responsibility and taking action, and the government, the education system and media have spent years conditioning people against taking responsibility, to accept the status quo. They get people focused on small issue rather then the bigger issues which if solved would resolve the smaller issues.
I saw yet another great video posted over at Daily Paul, but first a quote of Ron Paul’s that the video had:
The obligation of our representatives in Washington is to protect liberty, not coddle the world, precipitating no-win wars, while bringing bankruptcy and economic turmoil to our people. – Ron Paul
I saw over at Daily Paul that Ron Paul placed 3rd in the Texas Straw Poll.
Seeing how the party did their best to keep him from being able to get any votes at all, this is a truly amazing victory.
Third place puts him well ahead of Giuliani and Romney, the media’s favorites. Duncan Hunter finished first, with fast rising Fred Thompson in second and Dr. Paul pulling in close behind Thompson, then there is a huge gap to get to 4th place with Huckabee and down from there.
Reports are that the convention was overtly Christian Far Right Wing and very Pro-War (how those two are together is a bit of a mystery since none of these wars involve anything for which the Bible says that a nation should defend or protect, meaning it falls under the killing without cause, aka, murder a violation of one of the ten commandments, but whatever). Seeing that Ron Paul is a very strong anti-war candidate (he and Kucinich are the only two true anti-war candidates in either party), for him to get such a strong result at a very pro-war rally, which again, tried to keep delegates who might vote for him out, is amazing. Had they opened the poll up more like most other states, I have little doubt he would have won hands down…
16.7% Ron Paul (217 votes)
41.1% Duncan Hunter (534 votes)
20.5% Fred Thompson (266 votes)
6.4% Mike Huckabee (83 votes)
6% Rudy Giuliani (78 votes)
4.7% Mitt Romney (61 votes)
.46% Sam Brownback (6 votes)
.62% John McCain (8 votes)
.46% Tom Tancredo (6 votes)
2.2% Ray McKinney (28 votes)
.23% Hugh Cort (3 votes)
.77% John Cox (10 votes)
I saw the best Ron Paul video yet over at Daily Paul:
I think 50 to 100 years or so from now, the nation will look back at this time as either the time we changed things for the better by electing Ron Paul, or missing our last chance. Many of Ron Paul’s quotes will be remembered one way or another.