The liberal electoral vote site has the electoral vote at 264 to 222 in favor of Kerry, while the conservative electoral vote site has it at 288 to 250 in favor of Bush. What is interesting is that the liberal site shows the strong (10% or more, well outside any margin of error) to be 162 to 99 in favor of Bush, and the weak (5% to 9%) as 112 to 31 in favor of Kerry, so if we toss out the barely (which is less then 5% so inside the margin of error and a statistical tie) we have Bush at 193 and Kerry at 211, which is probably closer to the actual current results.
The nice feature of the conservative ran site is that it includes the popular vote, but the site tends to be few days behind, which would explain most of the difference, and a different way of weighing the poll data.
While the webmasters of the two sites may be liberal or conservative, as is evidence by their commentary and links, I have little reason to suspect either of presenting the data in anything but a fair way. That is to say that I don’t think the liberal is misrepresenting the data in Kerry’s favor, nor is the conservative guy misrepresenting the data in Bush’s favor.
It turns out the debate that was to take place on the 31st, did take place. The only people to show up was Badnarik, the Libertarian candidate and Cobb, the Green party candidate and apparently aired on C-Span on the 6th. Seems I missed it.
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